DEPARTMENTS: MARKETWATCH

    By 2024 more than half of the Li-ion market will be in hybrid and electric cars

    03/27/2014

    The lithium-ion battery business is growing rapidly to many tens of billions of dollars yearly, thanks to billions of dollars continuing to be invested in the industry. Their use is widening well beyond e-readers, tablets, laptops and mobile phones with vehicles being particularly important for the future; mainly hybrid electric and pure electric vehicles by land, water and air. Many suppliers are collapsing while Tesla with Panasonic is about to out invest the leaders.
     
    Hybrid and pure electric cars will be much more than half of the value of this market by the end of the decade. About 70% of the relatively small number of manufacturers of these have committed to only three suppliers over the next three years. However, everything about Li-ion is changing, including all electrode and electrolyte chemistry and morphology. There have been severe safety blunders by some big names. All this underlines the importance of keeping up to date with the chemistry, commercial thrust and success as is now possible with the market research report "Analysis of over 140 Lithium-based Rechargeable Battery Manufacturers: Chemistry, Strategy, Success".
     
    The primary battleground in improving the properties of Li-ion batteries to meet market needs now lies in energy density and cost per unit of energy stored because other parameters are generally good enough for most applications in vehicle traction. It is primarily about the all-electric range of hybrid and pure electric cars and making them affordable, with adequate life. Currently resale prices are crippling partly because of inadequate battery life. Cathode chemistry has been the primary focus but now there is also considerable attention towards anode chemistry and electrolyte.
     
    Only a few countries have a sufficient gross output to support a viable supply chain of these battery chemicals, materials and research. Only a few manufacturers involved can vertically integrate to a great extent. Europe has particular challenges and it is in great danger of being a follower when they should be trying to leapfrog the technology.
     
    IDTechEx

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